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World Cup 2018 – Fantasy Football Cheatsheet

World Cup 2018: Group Stage Goal Projections, Clean Sheet Probabilities & Fixture Difficulty Ratings

The Panini Sticker Album has been released so that can only mean one thing – the countdown to the 2018 World Cup Finals is well and truly on.

This promises to be a World Cup to savour and the introduction of VAR technology, which will be used at the finals for the first time, is sure to make its mark.

We’re expecting the leading fantasy football operators to come up with some fascinating tournament formats, so we’ve put together a Fantasy Football Cheatsheet that references key data for all of the Group stage matches that will be played at this summer’s World Cup finals.

The Cheatsheet includes a fixture difficulty rating based on the perceived strength of the opposition according to the World Cup outright betting markets, projected goals for each participating team in each Group game along with the associated clean sheet probabilities and the actual likely outcome of each match in percentage terms.

This information is presented in an easy to use format and should help with the fantasy football team selection process by highlighting the sort of task each nation is expected to face.

For those on Mobile or Tablet devices having difficulty viewing the table below can view it here.

2018 World Cup - Fantasy Football Cheatsheet
Group Stage Fixtures Projected Goals Clean Sheet % Match Result %
Date 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 X 2
14-Jun RUS KSA 1.83 0.57 57 16 67 22 11
15-Jun EGY URU 0.63 1.59 20 54 15 26 59
15-Jun MOR IRN 1.16 0.88 41 31 41 31 28
15-Jun POR ESP 0.89 1.48 23 41 22 28 50
16-Jun FRA AUS 2.28 0.38 68 10 78 16 6
16-Jun ARG ISL 1.88 0.5 61 15 70 20 10
16-Jun PER DEN 0.98 1.37 25 38 26 29 45
16-Jun CRO NGA 1.49 0.88 41 23 50 28 22
17-Jun CRC SRB 0.85 1.34 26 43 23 29 48
17-Jun GER MEX 1.96 0.73 48 14 63 23 14
17-Jun BRA SUI 2.1 0.62 54 12 70 20 10
18-Jun SWE KOR 1.32 0.96 38 27 44 29 27
18-Jun BEL PAN 2.53 0.39 68 8 80 14 6
18-Jun TUN ENG 0.62 2.04 13 54 10 20 70
19-Jun COL JPN 1.56 0.81 44 21 52 28 20
19-Jun POL SEN 1.27 0.97 38 28 42 30 28
19-Jun RUS EGY 1.51 0.85 43 22 47 29 24
20-Jun POR MOR 1.73 0.64 53 18 61 25 14
20-Jun URU KSA 2.3 0.49 61 10 78 16 6
20-Jun IRN ESP 0.4 2.39 9 67 6 15 79
21-Jun DEN AUS 1.56 0.8 45 21 53 27 20
21-Jun FRA PER 2.1 0.6 55 12 70 20 10
21-Jun ARG CRO 1.58 0.89 41 21 52 27 21
22-Jun BRA CRC 2.43 0.56 57 9 77 15 8
22-Jun NGA ISL 1.08 1.16 31 34 33 30 37
22-Jun SRB SUI 1.09 1.16 31 34 33 30 37
23-Jun BEL TUN 2.3 0.55 58 10 74 18 8
23-Jun KOR MEX 0.92 1.43 24 40 24 29 47
23-Jun GER SWE 1.94 0.79 45 14 62 23 15
24-Jun ENG PAN 2.29 0.45 64 10 76 17 7
24-Jun JPN SEN 1.11 1.2 30 33 32 30 38
24-Jun POL COL 1.14 1.21 30 32 33 30 37
25-Jun URU RUS 1.32 1.03 36 27 41 30 29
25-Jun KSA EGY 0.73 1.58 21 48 19 27 54
25-Jun IRN POR 0.56 1.95 14 57 10 21 69
25-Jun ESP MOR 2 0.57 57 14 69 20 11
26-Jun DEN FRA 0.81 1.69 18 44 17 25 58
26-Jun AUS PER 1.08 1.34 26 34 28 29 43
26-Jun NGA ARG 0.89 2.11 12 41 14 23 63
26-Jun ISL CRO 0.84 1.41 24 43 22 27 51
27-Jun KOR GER 0.66 2.39 9 52 8 18 74
27-Jun MEX SWE 1.27 1.14 32 28 38 30 32
27-Jun SRB BRA 0.69 2.06 13 50 11 21 68
27-Jun SUI CRC 1.5 0.85 43 22 52 28 20
28-Jun JPN POL 0.97 1.57 21 38 23 28 49
28-Jun SEN COL 0.95 1.5 22 39 24 28 48
28-Jun ENG BEL 1.34 1.45 23 26 33 30 37
28-Jun PAN TUN 1.06 1.34 26 35 29 30 41
Group A Opposition Strength Fixture Difficulty Rating Projected Goals
For Against
RUS KSA (2) EGY (3) URU (4) 9 4.26 2.78
URU EGY (3) KSA (2) RUS (4) 9 5.21 2.15
KSA RUS (4) URU (4) EGY (3) 11 1.79 5.71
EGY URU (4) RUS (4) KSA (2) 10 3.03 3.84
Group B Opposition Strength Fixture Difficulty Rating Projected Goals
For Against
IRN MOR (2) POR (4) ESP (5) 11 1.85 5.5
ESP POR (4) IRN (2) MOR (2) 8 5.87 1.86
POR ESP (5) IRN (2) MOR (2) 9 4.57 2.68
MOR IRN (2) POR (4) ESP (5) 11 2.37 4.61
Group C Opposition Strength Fixture Difficulty Rating Projected Goals
For Against
AUS FRA (5) DEN (3) PER (3) 11 2.26 5.18
DEN PER (3) AUS (2) FRA (5) 10 3.74 3.47
FRA AUS (2) PER (3) DEN (3) 8 6.07 1.79
PER DEN (3) FRA (5) AUS (2) 10 2.92 4.55
Group D Opposition Strength Fixture Difficulty Rating Projected Goals
For Against
NGA CRO (4) ISL (3) ARG (5) 12 2.85 4.76
ISL ARG (5) NGA (3) CRO (4) 12 2.5 4.37
ARG ISL (3) CRO (4) NGA (3) 10 5.57 2.28
CRO NGA (3) ARG (5) ISL (3) 11 3.79 3.3
Group E Opposition Strength Fixture Difficulty Rating Projected Goals
For Against
SRB CRC (2) SUI (3) BRA (5) 10 3.12 4.07
SUI BRA (5) SRB (3) CRC (2) 10 3.28 4.04
BRA SUI (3) CRC (2) SRB (3) 8 6.59 1.87
CRC SRB (3) SUI (3) BRA (5) 11 2.2 5.27
Group F Opposition Strength Fixture Difficulty Rating Projected Goals
For Against
MEX GER (5) KOR (2) SWE (3) 10 3.43 4.02
KOR SWE (3) MEX (3) GER (5) 11 2.54 5.14
GER MEX (3) SWE (3) KOR (2) 8 6.29 2.18
SWE KOR (2) GER (5) MEX (3) 10 3.25 4.17
Group G Opposition Strength Fixture Difficulty Rating Projected Goals
For Against
PAN BEL (5) ENG (4) TUN (2) 11 1.9 6.16
ENG TUN (2) PAN (2) BEL (5) 9 5.67 2.52
BEL PAN (2) TUN (2) ENG (4) 8 6.28 2.29
TUN ENG (4) BEL (5) PAN (2) 11 2.51 5.4
Group H Opposition Strength Fixture Difficulty Rating Projected Goals
For Against
SEN POL (4) JPN (3) COL (4) 11 3.12 3.88
COL JPN (3) POL (4) SEN (3) 10 4.27 2.9
POL SEN (3) COL (4) JPN (3) 10 3.98 3.15
JPN COL (4) SEN (3) POL (4) 11 2.87 4.33

 

We’ve colour coded the opposition in our group summaries above to try to replicate a feature that Fantasy Premier League managers will be familiar with, where ‘green’ represents an easy fixture and ‘brown’ is the most testing. Numerical values are also included with the lowest number (2) representing a ‘softer’ fixture.

You can also visualise how many goals each team is expected to score and concede during their respective group games.

Get your hands on the World Cup 2018 Betting Advice eBook today!!

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